听李彦宏的讲座所感

今天晚上去听了百度创始人李彦宏在湾区的讲座。3个小时，San Jose DoubleTree Hotel 的演讲厅挤满了人。包括我在内，大家都对中国的互联网的未来充满了关注。这里摘录了李在座谈中的一些观点和我的一点感想与大家分享。

中国互联网发展的四个阶段：
1) 门户 (sohu & sina)
2） 游戏 （ 盛大 ）
3) 虚拟社区 (QQ)
4) Search and eCommerce
- Paid search advertising will grow rapidly for the next 5 - 15 years

我对李彦宏的印象：
－ 书卷气，讲话很儒雅
－ persistent，他对IPO的执着 － Reject multiple offers from big players like Google, Yahoo and Microsoft.
－ very confident, 他的经历告诉他百度可以击败包括Google在内的国际巨头，对阿里妈妈不屑一顾。
－ Not very social
－ 可能会过于执着于自己的意见，百度的未来大部取决于他个人的决策。(tell from the fact that his COO and CTO all left the company and how he choose the new CFO and COO)

Why Robin Li can be successful?
- Focus on the thing he wants to do and do it well. Don't plan what may not happen or think too much.
* His life path (循规蹈矩）
* His business decision ( Go IPO, Focus on Search )
* 对种菜也很执着和认真
－ 做自己喜欢的事，和做自己擅长的事
- 我个人认为，李的创业成功有他的偶然性，赶上了互联网搜索的发展大潮，但是成功上市和占有中国搜索70％以上的市场份额却是由李个性和智慧集合的必然型决定的。有很多值得我们学习借鉴的地方。

- How to maintain the talents in the company
* Similar incentives as US company
* Hire fresh graduates for the Engineers because lots of talented engineers in China will move to sales/support after a few years engineering work.
* Depends heavily on the 网虫(Community) to make their product decision (similar to the open source model)

- How to choose the partner
* 互补型
＊ 人品 or Personality
* A familiar person

关于创业
－ 创业的早期是没有选择去pick the employees，真诚的对待每一个员工, 运气很好才会碰到好的员工
－ 从用户的角度出发来寻找下一个机会

About the Chinese Advertising Market:
- GDP grows at 8% ,
- offline ad grows at 8%x2
- Online ad grows at 8%x4
- Online paid search ad @ 8% x 8
- Baidu paid search ad @ 8% x 16